Schermbeck vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
HUL
0 - 1
SCH
32%
26%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
MSV
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SWE
0 - 2
SCH
59%
23%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
BER
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
WER
0 - 3
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 2
VEL
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
VFB
4 - 1
ERK
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 4
AAA
18%
23%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
KÖL
25%
24%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
ROT
12%
22%
66%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |