Schermbeck vs Dornberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
WER
1 - 1
SCH
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
RBE
56%
21%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 3
SCH
58%
22%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
WHE
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 1
GIE
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dornberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 3
ERK
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPR
1 - 0
DOR
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 2
ABI
18%
20%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 0
DOR
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 4
WAT
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |