Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
BVB
7 - 0
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
MSV
6 - 0
S04
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
S04
0 - 0
KOL
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
MON
2 - 0
S04
41%
25%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
S04
0 - 0
MSV
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
BRE
2 - 1
KOL
45%
23%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
BRE
2 - 0
COH
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
MSV
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
BRE
3 - 1
STU
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1966 |
KAI
2 - 3
BRE
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |