Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
SVD
0 - 4
S04
86%
9%
5%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1942 |
S04
4 - 1
SPH
91%
7%
3%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1942 |
S04
6 - 0
SGB
91%
7%
3%
|
39 | 7 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
DRE
2 - 1
S04
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
S04
6 - 0
HOL
63%
18%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
BRE
4 - 1
LSV
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1942 |
BRE
6 - 1
OFC
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 1942 |
KOL
1 - 2
BRE
32%
22%
46%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
BRE
1 - 2
HOL
78%
13%
10%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
S04
5 - 0
BRE
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |