Schalke 04 vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
16º
13º
14
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ULM
0 - 0
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
3 - 0
S04
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
S04
3 - 4
SGF
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 0
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
S04
25%
22%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ELV
24%
25%
52%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
SGF
24%
22%
54%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
FCN
8 - 3
SSV
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 3
F95
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
1 - 0
SSV
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |