DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 7-5
Schalke 04 vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
S04
5 - 0
MON
71%
15%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 3
S04
70%
16%
13%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
SSV
1 - 1
S04
59%
20%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
ROT
4 - 2
S04
77%
13%
10%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
BVB
3 - 4
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
SSV
1 - 7
VFR
53%
21%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1954 |
SVS
3 - 1
SSV
65%
18%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
SSV
1 - 1
S04
59%
20%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SSV
0 - 2
EIN
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
HES
5 - 1
SSV
59%
20%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |