Champions League Last 16
Global 4-5
Schalke 04 vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
EIN
1 - 0
S04
34%
24%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
S04
1 - 0
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
BYM
1 - 1
S04
82%
13%
6%
|
87 | 98 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
S04
1 - 0
HAN
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 2
S04
9%
16%
76%
|
87 | 42 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RMA
2 - 0
DEP
93%
6%
2%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 0
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
86%
10%
4%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RMA
4 - 1
RSO
91%
7%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 2
RMA
4%
11%
85%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |