Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 4-3
Schalke 04 vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
4 - 0
S04
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
S04
3 - 3
HSV
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
NOT
0 - 2
S04
7%
17%
76%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
LOK
1 - 2
S04
6%
17%
77%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
S04
9 - 0
SAA
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAO
3 - 0
XAN
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
PAO
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
PAO
0 - 2
MET
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
PAO
6 - 0
NIC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
PAO
1 - 0
APO
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |