Schalke 04 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
RTV
0 - 1
S04
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
S04
2 - 0
VCF
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
S04
0 - 0
STP
61%
22%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
S04
1 - 0
STU
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1997 |
MSV
0 - 0
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1997 |
BYM
5 - 2
MSV
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1997 |
LEV
1 - 0
MSV
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
MSV
1 - 1
RTV
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 0
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |