Schalke 04 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
HER
2 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
S04
4 - 2
HSV
59%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
S04
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
BVB
2 - 1
S04
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
S04
1 - 3
MAG
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1977 |
MSV
5 - 0
SAA
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
TUS
1 - 3
MSV
11%
16%
73%
|
80 | 34 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
EBT
1 - 0
MSV
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
MSV
6 - 3
BYM
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
BRE
4 - 2
MSV
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |