Schalke 04 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1971 |
HAN
1 - 5
S04
53%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
BRE
0 - 1
S04
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1971 |
S04
2 - 2
KOL
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
S04
1 - 2
OFC
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1971 |
ROT
4 - 1
S04
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1971 |
MSV
2 - 1
BVB
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1971 |
MSV
2 - 0
BYM
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1971 |
KAI
3 - 0
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
MSV
4 - 1
ARB
70%
20%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1971 |
HAN
3 - 3
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |