Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
S04
0 - 2
BYM
23%
23%
53%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OLP
1 - 2
S04
32%
24%
44%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SGF
0 - 2
S04
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
S04
3 - 1
AUG
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HAN
2 - 2
S04
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
M05
2 - 0
AUG
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
BYM
3 - 1
M05
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
M05
0 - 1
SGF
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SCF
1 - 1
M05
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ROB
0 - 4
M05
8%
17%
75%
|
81 | 22 | 59 | 0 |