Schalke 04 vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1941 |
S04
4 - 1
AUS
19%
19%
62%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1941 |
SWE
1 - 5
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 1941 |
S04
4 - 2
F95
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
SGF
2 - 1
S04
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1940 |
S04
5 - 0
BRE
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1941 |
HOL
2 - 1
CZJ
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1941 |
HOL
4 - 0
BWB
28%
22%
51%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +9 |
| 03 Aug. 1941 |
BRE
1 - 2
HOL
78%
13%
10%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1937 |
F95
2 - 1
HOL
71%
16%
14%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
HOL
5 - 3
HER
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |