Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
16º
13º
25
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 2
S04
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
S04
3 - 5
DAR
44%
24%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KSC
2 - 0
S04
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
S04
2 - 1
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
S04
1 - 3
KOL
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HER
1 - 4
ELV
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCN
0 - 2
HER
22%
22%
55%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 2
F95
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 4
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
SSV
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |