Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
HAN
0 - 1
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
S04
0 - 1
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
AUG
0 - 1
S04
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
S04
3 - 0
KOL
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
M05
0 - 1
S04
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 1
FCN
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
OFC
0 - 2
FCN
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 1
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FCN
3 - 1
HAN
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |