Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
S04
1 - 0
M05
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 2
S04
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
S04
2 - 0
HER
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
S04
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
S04
2 - 0
HAN
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
KOL
3 - 0
FCN
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 4
HSV
21%
24%
55%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BVB
4 - 0
FCN
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FCN
0 - 1
SCF
46%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
WOL
2 - 3
FCN
69%
18%
12%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |