Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
EBT
1 - 2
S04
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
TSA
5 - 7
S04
28%
23%
49%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1965 |
S04
1 - 0
KAI
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
KSC
2 - 2
S04
52%
21%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
S04
1 - 1
EIN
35%
24%
42%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1965 |
FCN
1 - 0
HAN
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1965 |
FCN
2 - 0
KOL
55%
20%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1965 |
HER
1 - 2
FCN
16%
18%
66%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1964 |
FCN
1 - 1
STU
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
NEU
1 - 1
FCN
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |