Schalke 04 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
MSV
3 - 0
S04
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
S04
2 - 0
EBT
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
HSV
3 - 1
S04
84%
10%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
STU
2 - 0
S04
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1964 |
S04
2 - 3
KOL
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 2
MUN
76%
13%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
KSC
1 - 3
FCN
26%
22%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 0
SAA
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
PRE
0 - 1
FCN
15%
21%
65%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 1964 |
FCN
1 - 0
EIN
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |