Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Schalke 04 vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
S04
7 - 4
LEV
46%
25%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
S04
0 - 0
BVB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
KAI
0 - 2
S04
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
STU
2 - 0
S04
40%
27%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 1
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
RMA
4 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ESP
3 - 1
MAL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2006 |
ESP
2 - 0
CAD
72%
19%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |