Schalke 04 vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
HSV
4 - 2
S04
59%
21%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
S04
1 - 2
F95
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
FCN
0 - 2
S04
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
S04
1 - 1
KAI
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
DAR
1 - 2
S04
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
BVB
4 - 1
MSV
48%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
EBT
2 - 2
BVB
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
HSV
5 - 0
BVB
67%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BVB
3 - 0
F95
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
FCN
2 - 2
BVB
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |