Schalke 04 vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
BVB
2 - 0
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
S04
1 - 3
HSV
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
F95
3 - 1
S04
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
S04
1 - 1
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
S04
0 - 0
FCN
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1979 |
F95
3 - 2
ARB
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
ARB
2 - 0
FCN
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
KAI
3 - 2
ARB
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
ARB
5 - 0
DAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
2 - 1
ARB
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |