Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
12º
18º
17º
62
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 0
S04
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
S04
2 - 2
MON
22%
22%
56%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 1
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 5
S04
8%
13%
79%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
TWE
3 - 1
S04
41%
25%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
21%
23%
57%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
M05
0 - 0
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
HAN
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 1
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 2
FCU
8%
16%
76%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |