Schalke 04 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
F95
3 - 4
S04
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
S04
2 - 1
BVB
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1986 |
S04
3 - 0
BWB
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
STU
4 - 0
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
S04
2 - 1
KFC
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
39%
24%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
KFC
3 - 1
KOL
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
KOL
3 - 0
HOM
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
WAL
2 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 4
LEV
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |