Schalke 04 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
S04
2 - 3
STU
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
S04
3 - 2
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
RTV
2 - 2
S04
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1978 |
S04
2 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
KOL
3 - 3
MSV
72%
16%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1978 |
BVB
0 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
IAA
1 - 1
KOL
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
WHE
2 - 3
KOL
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
KOL
1 - 3
HSV
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |