Schalke 04 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1970 |
S04
0 - 0
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
STU
2 - 0
S04
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
DZG
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
S04
1 - 3
HER
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1970 |
MON
2 - 0
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1970 |
ROT
3 - 3
KOL
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
KOL
0 - 1
ROT
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
KOL
3 - 0
BRE
74%
16%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
HSV
2 - 5
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
EBT
1 - 2
KOL
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |