Schalke 04 vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
ARB
0 - 1
S04
38%
21%
41%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
MUN
1 - 2
S04
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1968 |
S04
0 - 2
EBT
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1968 |
MON
1 - 6
S04
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
EIN
2 - 2
S04
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1968 |
HOM
1 - 4
KOL
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1968 |
KOL
3 - 3
BYM
49%
22%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1968 |
MUN
0 - 1
KOL
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
HAN
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
KOL
1 - 0
EBT
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |