Schalke 04 II vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Schalke 04 II Fortuna Köln
48 ELO 52
13.9% Tilt 7.7%
3854º General ELO ranking 3321º
115º Country ELO ranking 93º
ELO win probability
46.9%
Schalke 04 II
24.8%
Draw
28.3%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
Schalke 04 II
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.3%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Schalke 04 II
-4%
+8%
Fortuna Köln

Points and table prediction

Schalke 04 II
Their league position
Fortuna Köln
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
17º
56
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Alemannia Aachen
72
75
100%
Wuppertaler SV
61
64
42.5%
FC Bocholt
62
63
42.5%
Fortuna Köln
56
57
100%
Schalke 04 II
54
54
100%
Köln II
52
52
57.5%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
14%
Wiedenbrück
10º
47
50
30%
Düren
49
49
53%
Rödinghausen
48
49
10º
43%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
12º
41
42
12º
81.5%
Paderborn 07 II
13º
38
39
13º
53%
Gutersloh
14º
38
39
14º
59.5%
Lippstadt 08
15º
32
32
15º
27.5%
Velbert
16º
32
32
16º
27.5%
Wegberg-Beeck
17º
26
27
17º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Schalke 04 II
Fortuna Köln
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Schalke 04 II
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Schalke 04 II
Schalke 04 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2023
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1 - 1
Schalke 04 II
S04
18%
21%
61%
49 36 13 0
04 Nov. 2023
S04
Schalke 04 II
2 - 3
Gutersloh
GUT
76%
15%
9%
49 39 10 0
29 Oct. 2023
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
1 - 3
Schalke 04 II
S04
47%
25%
28%
48 50 2 +1
22 Oct. 2023
S04
Schalke 04 II
3 - 1
Lippstadt 08
LIP
73%
16%
11%
48 39 9 0
14 Oct. 2023
VEL
Velbert
0 - 4
Schalke 04 II
S04
28%
23%
48%
47 41 6 +1

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 3
B. Mönchengladbach II
BOR
45%
25%
31%
50 48 2 0
04 Nov. 2023
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
64%
21%
15%
50 56 6 0
27 Oct. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
1 - 0
Düren
DUR
42%
26%
32%
50 50 0 0
21 Oct. 2023
FCB
FC Bocholt
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
37%
26%
37%
51 46 5 -1
13 Oct. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 0
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
80%
14%
7%
50 31 19 +1
X