Schalding-Heining vs TSV Grünwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
7º
3º
7
12º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
8º
|
18 | 59 |
1º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 57 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
24 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 55 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 52 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 46 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 43 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 41 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 38 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 35 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 29 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 26 |
16º
|
21% | |
|
|
17º
|
7 | 23 |
17º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 88.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
53%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
UNT
3 - 0
SCH
24%
20%
56%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
TSV Grünwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
TSV
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
3 - 0
TSV
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
KOT
23%
21%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ERL
3 - 1
TSV
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 4
186
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -2 |