Schalding-Heining vs Sonthofen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
7º
1º
10
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 64.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
SCH
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 4
MUN
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 2
SCH
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NUR
4 - 0
SCH
76%
15%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 3
WUR
7%
18%
75%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SON
2 - 2
TSV
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SON
0 - 4
S04
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
186
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
KSC
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |