Schalding-Heining vs Memmingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
6º
3º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 11% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 75% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 2
SCH
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
ERL
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
ISM
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
SCH
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
TSV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Memmingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 1
TSV
50%
23%
27%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 2
MEM
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 0
LAN
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
MEM
40%
24%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
1 - 1
ERL
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |