Schalding-Heining vs Ismaning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
6º
3º
27
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schalding-Heining
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
HEI
0 - 2
SCH
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
TSV
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RAI
1 - 0
SCH
25%
21%
53%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIR
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCH
50%
22%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ismaning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
2 - 1
TSV
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 0
ISM
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MEM
0 - 0
ISM
61%
21%
17%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
ISM
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |