Schaffhausen vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
7º
6º
14
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 40 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 28 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 25 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 25 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 89% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7.5% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
87% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCH
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCV
31%
25%
45%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
THU
4 - 2
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SCS
0 - 6
THU
2%
6%
92%
|
77 | 7 | 70 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |