Schaffhausen vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
10º
10º
31
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 6% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
63.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
SCH
0 - 1
STA
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SCH
2 - 3
THU
16%
22%
62%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCH
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
STA
1 - 0
ETO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
4 - 0
VEV
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
SCO
3 - 2
ETO
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
UES
1 - 0
ETO
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |