Progresso vs Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
56.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 0
PRO
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 3
PSM
26%
22%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
0 - 2
PRO
69%
17%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
ALF
42%
22%
35%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SCA
2 - 1
PRO
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
MEZ
55%
22%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRE
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |