Progresso vs Borgo San Donnino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
RIM
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACA
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
MEZ
1 - 0
PRO
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo San Donnino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
0 - 1
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 1
BSD
73%
17%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
ALC
32%
23%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
BSD
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BSD
0 - 1
FAN
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |