SCD Milagrosa vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Milagrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OUT
0 - 1
MIL
67%
20%
14%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
4 - 1
GUN
20%
22%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAT
3 - 0
MIL
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MIL
2 - 2
POR
46%
23%
32%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 1
MIL
73%
15%
11%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
LOU
75%
16%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
OUT
21%
23%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUN
3 - 0
LOU
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAT
18%
21%
62%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |