FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Scarborough vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HAL
1 - 0
SCA
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 0
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCA
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
POR
0 - 1
SCA
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
OXF
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
CAM
0 - 1
SOU
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRO
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |