EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-4
Scarborough vs Hull City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
SCA
1 - 1
NOR
44%
28%
29%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
SCU
0 - 2
SCA
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HUL
2 - 2
SCA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 0
SCA
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
SCA
1 - 4
SCU
34%
29%
38%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hull City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
HUL
0 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
HER
0 - 1
HUL
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
HUL
2 - 2
SCA
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
HUL
2 - 3
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
POS
3 - 1
HUL
57%
24%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |