Scarborough vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SCA
2 - 2
WOK
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
SCA
1 - 0
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
SOU
1 - 1
SCA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HAL
1 - 0
SCA
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SCA
1 - 0
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 0
BIR
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
CHL
4 - 0
WAT
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 4
CHL
19%
25%
56%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
CHL
0 - 1
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
WAT
2 - 2
CHL
17%
24%
59%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |