Scarborough Athletic vs Warrington Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
5 - 2
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NAN
3 - 2
SCA
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
SCA
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
1 - 1
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 0
SCA
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Warrington Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
0 - 1
UNM
75%
17%
8%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 2
WAR
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
RAD
1 - 1
WAR
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 4
WAR
11%
16%
72%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WAR
2 - 2
CIT
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | -1 |