Scarborough Athletic vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scarborough Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCA
3 - 1
CHE
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LEA
1 - 1
SCA
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
RYL
0 - 2
SCA
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 0
SCU
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
5 - 2
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
SOU
37%
25%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 0
BRA
25%
27%
47%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 1
CUR
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 1
HYD
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |