Scanzorosciate vs Virtus Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 3
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
PSM
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
1 - 1
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
PRO
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PON
4 - 0
VIR
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
LEC
10%
15%
75%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | +4 |