Scanzorosciate vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
SON
1 - 1
SCA
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
SCA
56%
23%
20%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 3
REZ
9%
15%
76%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
SCA
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
GSD
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
VBE
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 4
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
SON
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |