Scanzorosciate vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 0
SCA
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 2
TRE
66%
18%
16%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
BUS
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 1
SCA
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
DAR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
3 - 1
CIS
78%
15%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ACL
0 - 1
PSM
30%
28%
43%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
PSM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |