Scanzorosciate vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 3
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 1
PSM
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
SCA
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 3
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 1
DAR
70%
18%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
LEC
10%
15%
75%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LEC
4 - 3
PON
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |