Scandicci vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 1
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 2
SDT
53%
21%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
SCA
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
URI
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MEZ
2 - 1
SCA
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 3
RAV
16%
22%
62%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
COR
10%
16%
74%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIR
0 - 0
MEZ
28%
26%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 0
VIR
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |