Scandicci vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
USR
1 - 0
SCA
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SCA
0 - 3
MAS
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 0
MPO
28%
26%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 3
SCA
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
VFC
39%
27%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
RAV
2 - 0
MEZ
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UAR
3 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 1
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIN
0 - 0
MEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |