Waldgirmes vs Darmstadt 98 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+620%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
16º
8º
11
8º
17º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 80 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 74 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 68 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 66 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 64 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 59 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 57 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 48 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 46 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 43 |
14º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 39 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
16º
|
14.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 32 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
19º
|
2 | 25 |
19º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waldgirmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
WAL
73%
15%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
2 - 1
TSV
70%
16%
15%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 2
FER
30%
22%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
WAL
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
4 - 1
SVA
28%
20%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
Matches
Darmstadt 98 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
3 - 0
WOL
12%
16%
71%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
EDD
2 - 1
DAR
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 1
DAR
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
2 - 2
FCH
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAU
0 - 0
DAR
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | +1 |