SC Villa vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
5º
1º
42
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
52 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
BPF
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 2
SCV
40%
29%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SCV
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
VIP
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
KCC
4 - 1
SCV
55%
25%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
URA
4 - 0
GAD
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
URA
1 - 1
UPD
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 1
URA
8%
16%
76%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
URA
2 - 3
MFC
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VIP
1 - 1
URA
48%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |