SC Villa vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
WAK
0 - 1
SCV
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
KCC
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 0
GAD
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 2
SCV
44%
29%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
SCV
40%
30%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 2
KCC
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 1
UPD
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
1 - 1
MCF
41%
26%
33%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
UPD
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UPD
0 - 1
VIP
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |